Showing posts with label crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label crisis. Show all posts

Friday, 10 April 2020

CHINA SNEEZES

yo!... america catches a cold... innit!


time was...

america sneeze first

this time it's different...


YELLOW ROSE


palookaville folks agog...

lookin atta virus games...

 scoreboard...

they think america winnin...

they just dumb fucks... innit!


UPSIDE DOWN


an inside out...

the score board is real wierd...

it ain't the highest numbers...

but the lowest...

that wins the games...


WUHAN FLU


kicks off big in china...

figures gone thru a roof...

but we still playin golf...

before ya know it...

shit's hitta fan...

an it...

 game over...

for golf...

superbowled over...

cricket bowled out...

baseball strikes out...

football relegated...

olympic flame snuffed out...

china takes an early bath...

an then their averages stop...


HERE WE DO THINGS DIFFERENT


now it's us what gotta clap...

it's our figures goin thru a roof...

our team runnin outa kit...

pitch an diamond an park...

dug up fo burials...

hospital tents...

spare beds...


IT'S THE DEBT STUPID


whilst here in palookaville...

goin unemployed...

starbucks closed...

malls empty...

kids off school...

dad inna shed...

mum bakin up a storm...

china ain't pilin onna debt...

china gettin back ta work...

playin checkers...


A TRILLION HERE A TRILLION THERE


as long as the palookaville fed...

don't run outa paper an ink...

we just keep on pilin it up...

could be a...

paper crisis...

next









Tuesday, 23 March 2010

WOODEN MERCEDES IN REVERSE

yo!...you scratch my back...innit!


PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
...capitulation day postponed...
....in palookaville today...
.
...people are impressed by the latest wheeze...
.
...to weaken the euro...
.
...German exports- scratch that- we can all use...
.
...a weaker currency...
.
...so Greece agrees to help out...
.
...hey guys...
.
...lets play fall out and fight...
.
...this will weaken the euro...
.
...and we can all sell more stuff...
.
...heads we win...
.
...tails we can't lose...
.
petey...only kiddin...innit!

Friday, 10 July 2009

PASSPORT TO PALOOKAVILLE

yo!...suckers...innit!


PALOOKAGRAD FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+293


...nobody here in...


...palookagrad...


...gives a f**k...


...about the new price of a passport...


DEFLATION DEFEATED


...certainly not the commissars at the BBC...


...whose pay is so high that they cannot ever spend it all...


...not the politicians who are rolling in expenses and have vast earnings...


...from their clients in the lobbies...


...at £77 per adult...


...nobody here is going anyhere...


THE PALOOKAGRAD WALL


...the crisis in government caused by their inability...


...to fund the new wall to keep in all the proles...


...has been averted...


...we have a tape of the cabinet in the politbureau...


brown : we have to stop people traveling...


dark brown : the b*stards think that the world is their oyster...


light brown : we have increased the tax on petrol and diesel...


mc brown : we have taxed air travel...


golden brown : we have increased the cost of a passport by 4-500%...


bust brown : the f**kers won't catch the bus...


incapability brown : they'll catch the f**kin flu though...


new brown : we should tax bikes...


old brown : I'm onnit boss...


chairman brown : we will stop the b*stards saving if it's the last thing we do!!...


petey : pitiful...innit!





Wednesday, 24 June 2009

GROW YOUR OWN DOPE

yo!..plant an investor...innit!


PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+276...

...
Wall Street struggles for direction...

...“I don’t think this is the start of a major pull-back,” said Jeff Kleintop, chief market strategist at LPL Financial Services.

“Buyers and sellers have come together and begun to agree on a fair price following the powerful rally, which is why we have seen sideways trade.”

But Tim Howkins, chief executive of IG Group, said: “Equities need to go down again. They bounced too quickly and the feeling is

we still need to see a complete capitulation.”...FT


NOT IF BUT WHEN


...here, this morning...

...in palookaville...

...we await capitulation...

...we have been denied for so long...

...the zombie forces ranged against us...

...are legion...

...and well entrenched...

...they believe that they know the correct prices for all the various...

...financial assets...


...until the forces of creative destruction...

...rally to the cause...

...the zombies will continue to hold sway...


CAPITULATION DAY


...will arrive...

...eventually...

...the longer it takes...

...the greater the eventual bill...

...two lost decades in Japan...

...have not taught the zombie masters...

...that they do more harm than good...

Monday, 22 June 2009

DEBT AND BET

yo!...casino capitalism...innit!



PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+274...


...In palookaville today...


...everyone is a winner...


...the chinese have made all this cheap money available...


...for their many millions of gamblers...


...to play with...


...Chinese bail-out cash heads for Macau’s casinos rather than Guangdong factories...


and

...Xie: Chinese Banks Funding Commodities Speculation, Casting Doubt on Recovery...


...so...


...funny how so much of what we are told...


...by those pollyanna people...


...is proved bollox...


...eventually...


HERE IS THE NEWS


...the fruit machine has stopped...


...payouts are history...


...get a job...


...if you can...




IN GERMANY THEY DO IT DIFFERENTLY



...Berlin weaves a deficit hair-shirt for us all...



!NON!


...Sarkozy rejects austerity measures...

Wednesday, 11 March 2009

IF ONLY...BUT ALSO

yo!...down the plughole...innit!


PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+175...


AND THE NEXT 'FLATION WILL BE


lex : ..."Anyway, what might trigger a rise in inflation? That is the biggest stumbling block for worry-worts. The unwinding of the credit boom of the past 10 years will require higher savings, weak consumption and low investment, probably well into the next decade. That ensures demand will remain weak, and with it inflation too...."FT





'Sell every asset except gilts'

Conventional assets – even gold – are no good as hedges against the inevitable deflation, says one asset manager.

AND

Inflation will kill the gilt rally in the end

The announcement by the monetary authorities in the UK that a policy of quantatitive easing (QE) would be implemented was greeted with euphoria by the gilt market.


BUT ALSO

EXPORT I MANUFACTURE I MANUFACTURE I EXPORT

...here in palookaville we have always been told...

...our economy is f**ked bescause we have too small...

...a manufacturing base...

...we do not export enough...


...but look around the world and what do you see...

...world exports falling off a cliff...

...the great manufacturing economies...

...collapsing with them...



IF ONLY

...christopher fildes...

...spoke of the 'if only' brigade...

...if only the BOE were independent...

...if only we exported more...

...if only we manufactured more...

...if only we had a strong currency...

...if only the banks would lend more...

...if only we could re-start the boom...

...if only people did not talk the economy down...

...if only we could stop the short sellers...


WELL

IF ONLY

THE POLITIX WOULD STOP FIDDLING


...like taking power from the BOE and giving it to the FSA...

...like robbing the pension funds...

...like robbing the savers...

...scrapping PEPs...

...increasing tax complexity...

...creating a client state...

...busting the economy...

...increasing the national debt...

...busting final salary pension schemes...

...while MPs have voted themselves...

...bigger salaries and better pension entitlements...


NB chart is uk based and funds reflect the effect of currency movements


charts from equitable life are used as an illustration of sector performance comparisons only
and not as a commentary on their investment performance. no opinion is offered here either for or against equitable life as a pension company...

...they just happen to have these charts...
...which i find very helpful...
...when comparing sector fund performance...


...THERE IS A DISCLAIMER AT THE TOP O THE PAGE...

...THIS AINT ADVICE AN WE AINT IN BUSINESS...

...WE JUS SUCKERS LAK YOU...

...PISSIN INNA WIND...








Saturday, 21 February 2009

THE CALL OF THE WILD ONE

yo!...cool fo cats...innit!



PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+152...


...here in palookaville we take our stash seriously...

...we always lookin out fo squalls...


...we usta read the msm until the blogs got goin...


...this bloke bill adlard usta get a shout...

...inna paper called 'the business'...

...me an beulah usta like it a lot...


ANYWAY

...this bill geezer was always bangin on about a commin crash...

...an you know me...

...ol misery guts...innit!...


...I knew he would be right sooner or later...

...itz a pity that 'the business' went out of...


...but here is bill...

FTSE 100 'to fall by more than 40%'

The double whammy of poor economic data and the ongoing global credit crunch drove the FTSE 100 into meltdown today, wiping off some £60bn in shares - the steepest fall since 9/11 in 2001.


And one industry expert is urging investors to prepare for more sharp falls and a return to the lows of the bear market between 2000 and 2003.

Bill Adlard, a professional trader and market analyst at Chart-Guide.com, is urging investors to get into cash as soon as possible because he fears the FTSE 100 will soon start on a downward trajectory that will take the index back to its lows of 2003 – a fall of more than 40%.

He says: 'The world is heading for a major economic depression. The FTSE 100 is going to fall back to its lows of 2003.

'My advice to investors is to get in to cash and stay there as it will be the asset class that outperforms all others over the next five years.'


'Previously, back in 2003 there was a massive credit expansion but now we are heading for a credit contraction. The major difference is that in 2003 debt was lower and if prices fell it didn't necessarily mean that people had to sell.

'But since then there has been a credit binge resulting in the massive inflation of debt and as such there will have to be a lot of selling if it is to be paid off.'

It took just over three years and three months for the FTSE 100 to bottom out during the last bear market.

On 30 December 1999 at the height of the technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) boom, the index of the UK's largest firms peaked at 6930.2 – but by 12 March 2003 the index had plummeted by more than 50% to 3287.

Adlard added: 'The FTSE 100 will fall again over the same time period, if not sooner.' "



petey
: nice one bill.!...


...disclaimer...

...this aint no advert an no bollox...

...read the disclaimers at the top an find yo own stuff out...


STOP THE PRESS


...ah found anuvva one...


'Footsie to fall 90% from all-time high'

The severity of the ongoing economic and market torment has now led one analyst to forecast that the FTSE 100 index could plummet to below the 1000 level in the coming years.


Bill Adlard, a professional trader and market analyst, at Chart-Guide.com gave This is Money, the most gloomy - but notably the most accurate - forecast for how the index would fare in 2008.

Now Adlard says: 'I believe over the coming five years the FTSE 100 could fall by around 90% - from its all time high in 1999 of 6930. It could easily be below 1000 in five years time.

'The UK market will reflect what happened in the US between 1929 and 1932 when the Dow Jones dropped by 90% from 397 to 40 points. I expect something of the same from the Footsie.'

Speaking to This is Money 12 months ago, Adlard said that given the coupling of poor economic data and the ongoing global credit crunch, he believed that the index could pull back to its lows of 2003 – a fall of more than 40%.

In early trading on 10 October, 2008, the Footsie, had collapsed to 3873 - a fall of 40% since the start of the year - and Adlard's prediction had come to fruition.


By the year's end, the index had clawed back some of its fall and finished 31% down over the 12 months.

At mid morning trading on 28 January, 2009, the Footsie was at 4266.31. On 31 December 2007, the index was riding far higher at 6457 – giving a fall of 34% in the past 13 months. It hit its all time high of 6930, back on 31 December 1999, and today's level exemplifies a drop of 38% since then.

For the rest of 2009, Adlard expects the index of the UK's top 100 firms to 'thrash about between 4,500 and 3,500' before ultimately crashing through the lower barrier.


petey : only time will tell...innit!


...disclaimer...

...this aint no advert an no bollox...

...read the disclaimers at the top an find yo own stuff out...

Thursday, 18 December 2008

THE BOTTOM IS LOWER THAN YOU THINK


yo...good king 'flation last looked aht...innit..!


PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate : capitulation day+90


...in palookaville we take Christmas seriously...


AFTER BATHING AT PETEY'S


petey : ahm sittin here inna loft...lookin aht ovva...a wurl wots change fo evva...


zooneh : yo painty dude...wot yo see inna bollox man?...


paintpetey : ...ahm readin a ticker innit! ...an ambrose, an mish, an nouriel,

an john authers, an edmund conway


zooneh : an what they say man?


plastered : ...they say it gon be lak 1873...little zoon dude!

...debt deflation...zirp...credit done peaked...dollar fallin...yen risin...

...carry trade f**ked...euro killin a Ezone...white pahnd...

...unemployment inna statosphere...

...we talkin deleveragin......demand destruction...seven years lean...


zoon : whoa there dude!...hyper-bole innit?


pistolpete : more lak f**kin super-bole...aint in it!...

...the bitch is back dude...it lakka prion protein!


zoon : wot?... lak at wot eats yo brain...turnin it ta sponge?


paintstationzebra : the very same prion bitch...

...the very thang wot ate yo brain...will eat yo banks...


SOMETHING INNA WAY HE...WRITES...

beulah : thrills me lak no other blogger...

'cat : painty tell it lak it be man...

spidah : he aint no dismal bollox...he can say wot he lak...

...he jus tell em lak he see em...


SHRINK 4

opkin : money aint wot it used ta be...time was yo could put it inna bank...

...an it were safe...they would pay yo interest onnit...

...ovva time it would grow some...

...nah it jus shrink...no intrest...

...it shrink inna 'vestments...yo bank go bust...yo shares wiped aht...

...price o stuff shrinkin...oil...cars...houses...commercial property...

...ME PENSION STASH...!


...ahm watchin mah dick...lakka ork...


Wednesday, 3 December 2008

EVERY BODY KNOWS THIS IS NOWHERE ?

yo!...DIY hedgefund...innit!

PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate : capitulation day+75

...evva boddy seasick nah...onna choppy waters...

...noboddy inna proppa bollox said it would get this rough...

...them as had sense ta stand up an tell a truth was told...

...sit dahn, sit dahn, sit dahn...yo rockin a boat...


HEDGE YO BETS : WATCH YO ASS

beulah : wot fo i got speak ta a dude onna phone?

petey : it fo yo own good innit!...yo pension fund need watchin lak a ork...

laverne : yo f*cked it up antcha!

zooneh : no he aint...well not much any road...

'cat : sh*t...nah i gon be eatin tin food fo evva...innit?

vince : whahoppen musky?

musky : deputy dawg...bin stood dahn onna pay cut an notice ta quit...

governator : yo slobs is too fat ta catch no crimnals...y'all gon be aht onna asses...

....states bust innit!...revnue dried right up...

beulah : STFU alla yous...i wants ta know wot iss dick head painty bastard is...

....doin wi me stash...

petey : calm dahn honeh...we all doin ah best ta keep yo stash from disappearin...

spider : tell em painty...tell em abaht a fund switchin...

petey : well.. it sure int no piece o piss...y'all gotta keep yo eyes peeled alla time an yo...
...still gets it wrong sommathetime...

zooneh : ya gotta spread yo stuff arahnd an hedge one agin anutha...lak a posh folk do...

petey : lak theys times ta be long in shocks an times ta be short...times when index linked...
..is hot...an times when not...

beulah : shoot! yo suckers is apeshit...how come a bunch a losers in palookaville...
...gets ta says wots wot?

petey : it inna plan babe...yo kin switch yo heart out iffn yo...only dare...

zooneh : we woz outa property atta top man...that one wuz easy...buy bits o wotz...
...goin cheap...an switch aht when itz riz some good bit...

petey : don try this at home boys an girls...not on our say so...we don give advice...

CHECK OUT THE DISCLAIMER



opkin : yo! boss...are we there yet...is the bum in yet?

painty : this aint no sprint dude...this a real bummer...keep yo wellies dry an...
...yo eyes wide open...we a rowin boat inna hurricane...

...lookin back an goin... ?..







Friday, 3 October 2008

FOR WHOM THE BELL TOLLS

yo!...anvil inna air innit..!

y'all seen at TOM AN JERRY toon where the ANVIL is catapulted inta a air by a dog or summat
an tom run arahn tryin ta void a nevitable...inna end he jus dig a grave an wait fo a thang ta land on he head..!

PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate capitulation day+14

...all quiet here in palookaville this mornin...alla folks is onna net...tryin ta move they savins ta sumplace safe!

beulah : yo lazy painty bastard!...how come yo settin ere doin nowt..wiyalla wurl runnin rahnd shahtin..DON PANIC..?...an movin a dosh out a bust bastards inta guaranteed sh*t..?

'cat : cool it buely babe! yo ol man...tryin ta woikit aht..fo why it all appnin an how ta stop a sucker goin dahn...

zooneh : cop fo dis...dude ovva at bloomberg sayin in his own opinion...

johnathon : ..."Why would a smart guy like Hank Paulson -- the former boss of Goldman Sachs -- advance such a dumb, shady plan? Let us count the reasons:

No. 1: It delays our national reckoning until after the presidential election.

Paulson first floated a bailout Sept. 18, at the very hour when shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley looked like they might go into a death spiral. It's not so much a bailout, as it is a timeout. He had to follow up with something, anything, to stop the freefall from resuming. It didn't have to make sense.

So it doesn't. The plan is about creating the illusion of stronger financial institutions, not strengthening them.

The banks know this. Otherwise, they would have stopped charging each other near-record rates for three-month loans by now. The reason they haven't is because they're still afraid their customers -- other banks -- might go broke.

No. 2: The reckoning will be worse than you can imagine.

If Paulson were serious about recapitalizing rickety U.S. banks, he would infuse them with hundreds of billions of dollars of fresh government money, in exchange for ownership stakes. And if he wanted to create market liquidity for all those troubled assets on their books, he would be ordering banks to disclose everything there is to know about them, so Mr. Market could figure out their present value.

He can't let that happen. Not now. If everyone could see how much the toxic waste is worth, the writedowns would be so huge that many banks would have to be declared insolvent.

Better to let the next administration deal with the clean- up. The trouble is, the longer the government waits to address the banks' lack of capital, the worse it gets, barring a miracle.

No. 3: He's helping his friends.

Is there any doubt? Let's see.

As of yesterday, Morgan Stanley Chief Executive John Mack owned 2.75 million shares of his company's stock, valued at about $67 million. If Mack can get Morgan Stanley to trade reams of sketchy paper for billions of dollars of our Treasury's cash, without diluting any of his stake in the company, who benefits?

Paulson would have us believe it's you.

No. 4: There's an excellent chance the Congress will pass it. Leave someone else to figure out the costs another day." (my emphasis) bloomberg

petey : so!...it aint ma babe...no no noooo...it aint me babe...it aint me you're lookin forrr...babe!

Thursday, 25 September 2008

AS FALLS NIAGARA

yo! innit!... a week a long time inna BAILOUT...

PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate capitulation day+7

Admiral Paulson anna salty dogs onna dorkship TITANIC...out of Wall St.
are fighting for the inflatable life rafts that have been stowed away under CONGRESS
for the inevitable FINANCIAL EMERGENCY...

the national debt is so huge now anyway that, the hope is, no one will notice another
7 BILLION...

...there is enough hot air in congress, they believe, to inflate well beyond these paltry figures...

onna good ship BLOGOSPHERE the maroon has gone up anna bloggin stiffs is tryin ta get the workin stiffs ta get onna 'phon ta their congressperson...an ammer em flat abaht a ears....... an get em ta stop paulie from sinkin a dollah.

a week after the MOTHER plan was launched a liquidity is solidified agin anna
banks wotz BUST is sh*ttin bricks waitin fo a 'flatables ta come rescue em...

ya BANKERS wot dunnit are clean away wiya BONUS so large an heavy atta workin stiffs is gettin restless an gon get a congress ta GET THE MONEY BACK OFFA EM...

meanwhile with the alien hedge funds glued together by the Lepage glue gun anna day traders slapped silly by a VENGERS a shock an scares is goin dahn wiya villa...

VIAGRA FOR NIAGARA

ya BOOM is BUST an a BAILOUT is all ya got ta save a TITANIC but even Cathy Berberian knows...

inna current onna niagara river a TITANIC is bein swep along atta evva faster rate...
a enjin gone DROOP an a moneh be needed fo VIAGRA ta STIFFEN resolve an RESTORE CONFIDENCE...says CAPTAIN BRUSH...skipper o a titanic wen she took a wrong course...

a THREE OFFICERS are countin anna pressure buildin up inna congress steam room, fromma meltdown, ta motivate a suckers ta cough up!

Jonathan Weil : Why Mark-to-Paulson Accounting Won't Save Banks

..."The plan goes like this: Treasury will pay financial institutions above-market prices for garbage assets nobody else wants. Then, through the magic of mark-to-Paulson accounting, everybody else that owns similar stuff will use those same prices, or marks, to value the trash on their own balance sheets.

Shazam! Banks and insurance companies write up the asset values on their books. They post big profits. Their capital goes up. Everyone gets fooled. And nobody knows the difference.

Except, we do. And that's why the plan probably won't work.

Still, give Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke credit for ingenuity. At the same time banks are begging regulators to suspend mark-to-market accounting rules so they can avoid disclosing more losses, Paulson and Bernanke instead devise a way to abuse the same rules for the same banks' benefit.

Put It in Reverse

Under Paulson's plan, Treasury would hold so-called reverse auctions for financial institutions' troubled assets. Whoever submits the lowest bid gets to sell its junky assets to Treasury for cash.

While that might look like a competitive, free-market mechanism, it's not. Once the first bid in the first auction is submitted, it may not go much lower, and it probably will be much higher than the true market value.

That's because the real incentive for the banks isn't to sell their rubbish to Treasury and get cash. It's to watch the Treasury pay grossly inflated prices to others. That way, they can use those transactions for accounting purposes to mark their books to the Treasury's farcical market prices.

This presents another problem. The transaction prices coming out of these auctions may not meet the accepted definition of fair value. Under the Financial Accounting Standards Board's definition, fair value is the price ``in an orderly transaction between market participants.''.." Bloomberg..........

Kevin Hamlin : Asia Needs Deal to Prevent Panic Selling of U.S. Debt, Yu Says

Sept. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Japan, China and other holders of U.S. government debt must quickly reach an agreement to prevent panic sales leading to a global financial collapse, said Yu Yongding, a former adviser to the Chinese central bank.

``We are in the same boat, we must cooperate,'' Yu said in an interview in Beijing on Sept. 23. ``If there's no selling in a panicked way, then China willingly can continue to provide our financial support by continuing to hold U.S. assets.'' (my emphasis) - hat tip naked capitalism


bluepetey
: AS FALLS NIAGARA
...SO FALLS NIAGARA FALLS

capitulation posponed, gravity defied, fat lady....waitin...

am only waitin til a mornin comes...til a mornin commmmes...