Showing posts with label money. Show all posts
Showing posts with label money. Show all posts

Thursday, 3 September 2009

MAKE IT SO 如此做它

yo!...defying gravity...innit!


財務的PALOOKAVILLE
投降日347


bloomberg...Sept. 3 (Bloomberg) -- China’s stocks rose for a third day, driving the Shanghai Composite Index to its biggest gain in six months, on speculation regulators will adopt measures to boost the nation’s equities following declines in the past month...


...The government may take measures to stabilize the market before the 60th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on Oct. 1, the start of a weeklong holiday.

“They want everything to be stable and in harmony,” said Francis Lun, general manager of Fulbright Securities Ltd., in an interview with Bloomberg Television today. “They will approve more stock market funds and allow them to buy into the market.”...


...here in...


...palookagrad...


...all things are possible...


...but...


...most things are fixed...



...in theory...


...the gamblers bets should be winning all the time...


...except when they do not...


...of course...


...nobody knows when this must happen...



Saturday, 7 February 2009

THE DEPRESSIONIST MASTERPIECE

yo!...every picture tells a story...innit!


PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+139...





NB chart is uk based and funds reflect the effect of currency movements


charts from equitable life are used as an illustration of sector performance comparisons only
and not as a commentary on their investment performance. no opinion is offered here either for or against equitable life as a pension company...

...they just happen to have these charts...
...which i find very helpful...
...when comparing sector fund performance...


...THERE IS A DISCLAIMER AT THE TOP O THE PAGE...

...THIS AINT ADVICE AN WE AINT IN BUSINESS...

...WE JUS SUCKERS LAK YOU...

...PISSIN INNA WIND...



THE MORE I OWE, THE MORE I MAKE

yo!...some are more equal than others...innit!


PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+137...


...palookaville 2009...


...debt has reached the nexus phase...

...retirement is not an option...


...the debtists have passed new laws to increase debt - quantum time...


...the cure for debt is debt...


...long live the debt!...


...their friends the boomists have lobbied hard for this day...


...they believe in perpetual boom...



IGNORANCE IS STRENGTH


...nobody knows what we've done...


...they're all so f**kin thick...

...we keep them up to date with what is happening in the soaps...

...with who is F**king whom...

...they check their 'phones every minute...

...to see who is "on the bus" or "at the checkout"...

...meanwhile we f**k them over...


...we bury them in debt, we take away their savings or at least their interest...


THE MORTGAGE-GO-ROUND



...we give their money to the debtors...

...the more they owe, the more they make...


...we hate savers...

...so we rob their savings...

...we f**k up their investments...

...we rob their pension plans...

...


WAR IS PEACE


...war is good...

...it increases economic growth...

...bullets and bombs must be replaced...

...we can start a new war any time we want...

...all the twats will be watching the soaps...

...or reading about some sports or movie or soap "star"...


FREEDOM IS SLAVERY


...we will be the spender of last resort...

...all their money is ours...


...we create it...

...so we shall spend it...


...big goverment sets you free...

...cradle to grave without the need to think...

...like mushrooms, we keep you warm, in the dark...and covered in sh*t...


...we decide how much tax you will pay...

...and how we spend your money...

...we provide your education and health service...

...and we decide what quality of care you get...


...we tax your income and your spending and your saving...

...you get to decide who wins big brother...



...Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha...



THE GOVERNATOR


...the great depressionist artist...

...arnold terminator...

...is trying to balance the budget...


...the debtists just don geddit...

...they think the boom can be restarted...

...in time to save their bacon...


...but...


...perpetual boom is an illusion...

...the boomists have done their best...

...but...

...now it's over...

...bust follows boom as night follows day...

...

ZOMBIESTEIN

...they like to keep their money off shore...

... in tax havens and secret accounts...

...not here in zombiestein...

...land of the living dead...

...where all that moves is subsidised...

...state owned...

...insolvent...

...devalued...

...


Thursday, 5 February 2009

A DEPRESSIONIST MANIFESTO

yo!...academic...innit!



PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+135...


...the last great movement of the old century has died...


...debtism and all of it's proponents are discredited...

...the academy has looked in vain for it's return...

...but...

...the boomists are just a bunch of art clowns and have no substance...


SINIFICANT I TRANSENDENT


...the momentum is with the depressionists...

...they see the future as different from the past...

...where there was credit...

...there is debt...


...where there was growth...

...there is contraction...


...where there was inflation...

...deflation...


LET THERE BE SOLVENCY


...in the beginning there was trade...

...then there was finance...

...then there was leverage...

...then there was debt...

...then there was darkness...


DEBTRUNNER


...household debt has reached the nexus phase...

...but...

...incept dates have failed to retire the nexus debts...

...a new bread of financial police have been created to default the debtors...

...this is not called bankruptcy...

...this is called financial murder...


The plight facing Britain is uncannily similar to the 1930s, since prices of many assets —from shares to house prices — are falling at record rates, but the value of the debt against which they are held remains unchanged.

This “debt deflation” is among the most painful of all economic phenomena, since it means the amount families owe increases each year even if they borrow no more.


LET THERE BE LIGHT


...the banks have sought to keep us in the dark...

...they are lying about their exposure to toxic assets...

...the boomists are feeding them ever bigger gobbits of our money...

...what we get in return is...

...the mushroom treatment...

..."keep em in the dark and cover em in sh*t"


...meanwhile they continue to pay themselves huge bonuses...

...with our money...


BOOM BOOM BROWN


...the king of the boomists...

...is trying to create a zombie state...


...you start with a client state...

...where everyone is on the payroll...

...then you bankrupt the country...

...then you reflate the bust banks and property bubble...

...then you tax everything that moves or breathes...

...until all economic life is dead...


petey : hello? anyone out there?


Wednesday, 4 February 2009

THE MAN WHO PAINTED THE CRASH

yo!...the paintman cometh...innit!



PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+133...


...petey the paintstick ...

...the father of depressionism ...

...has been offered a show...


...MUMMY...

...the famous art gallery in the naked city...

...is to show his paintings of the...

...great crash...

...at the annex on threadneedle st...


THE CURSE OF THE MUMMY'S TOMB


...many in the city are worried that the works will be lost in the bad bank...

...you know! the one where all the worthless assets are held...

...the establishment see all his pictures as toxic...

...and hope that a show at the tomb...

...will draw attention away from the real sh*t stored there...


ZOMBIE ART


...the critics see the mummy as a zombie queen..

...and tell of how artists shown there always meet...

...a violent obscurity...

...still there's no business like show business...



ART FOR ARTS SAKE


...some of his most famous and controversial pieces will be on view...

...'admiral paulson crosses the rubicon'...

...'the rape of the shadow banking system'...

...'the bailout of the bust'...

...'the triumph of deflation'...

...'the bailout of the bubble'...

...'never mind the collateral, feel the bust!'...


THE CRITIC SEES


...howard huges...

...the famous art critic...

...has seen the show for what it is...


..."protectionism is to depressionism...

...what...

...koons is to pop art"...



THE END


opkin : say! that sure is good news about the exhibition dude...


petey : feels just lak palm sundae!







Saturday, 24 January 2009

THE MSM TELLS THE TRUTH AT LAST

yo!...abaht time...innit!



PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+122...


peteynation : foolin alla the people alla the time is difficult...

...1997 - 2007...

smoke an mirrors...profits of wax...

...less of the benefit...

...more of the tax...


DOWN BY BROWN


albert edwards : ..."What I find amazing is that people aren’t really nailing Gordon Brown and [Bank of England Governor] Mervyn King for this,” he said. “At least in the US they had the excuse of the arrival of sub-prime — a new sector of the market. We didn’t really have anything similar but we ended up with a bigger national Ponzi scheme than the US.”


THEY ARE NOW

from the times :-

The case against Gordon Brown

...seven nails in his political coffin...







Saturday, 10 January 2009

NEVER MIND THE CRUNCH...FEEL THE DEBT

yo!...film noir...innit!


PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL
capitulation day
+108...

sirens : aaaaaaahhhhhhhwwwwwwwww...
aaaaaaahhhhhhhwwwwwwwww

aaaaaaahhhhhhhwwwwwwwww....


camera : shot from below...lookin up...



...peterthepainter lies face down in the swimming pool...

...he is headshot an has forgotten how to swim...

...things are not as they once were here on sunset boulevard...

...vilma banky would not have approved...



BOULEVARD OF BROKEN DREAMS


petey : !!!glub?!bub!! blub!..


beulah : why aint the painty b*astard booked our holiday yet?

zooneh : t'currencies f**ked...innit!


simon heffer : ..."
As I expect the next few weeks to demonstrate, the horrors we are experiencing will soon be felt around Europe. Our position, which is now relatively bad, may soon start to look relatively good. That, too, should be no consolation. It will not betoken that our economic strategists have got something right; it will show, simply, that our commercial rivals are at last having as much grief as we are...."


mary an rosa : ..."With the credit crisis causing thousands of job losses in white-collar professions, ministers are engaged in crisis talks with major employers in a bid to find posts for the 400,000 students due to graduate from universities this summer.

In an interview with The Daily Telegraph, John Denham, the Skills Secretary, discloses that four well-known companies - including Barclays and Microsoft - have already agreed to take part in the scheme, provisionally called the National Internship Scheme.

He also refuses to rule out bringing forward plans to raise the school leaving age to 18 as an emergency measure to prevent this year’s crop of GCSE pupils adding to the ranks of the jobless.

With unemployment already approaching two million, some experts predict that three million people - one in 10 of the workforce - could be out of work by 2010. Another 550 posts were lost yesterday [fri] as Southeastern trains, the Newcastle Building Society and Bovis Homes, the house builders, added to the grim toll of job cuts since the start of the year.

Also this week, 1,200 jobs have been cut at Nissan’s plant in Sunderland, another 1,200 people have been made redundant at Marks & Spencer and 850 at Adams, the children’s clothes chain, while 2,700 jobs are under threat at Waterford Wedgwood, the crystal and china maker...."


simon : ..."It has been said that many economists backed this week's rate cut, as if that is supposed to reassure us. The death of Sir Alan Walters reminds us of his almost lone opposition to the 364 economists who wrote to the press in 1981 saying that the monetarism practised by the Thatcher government – especially the avoidance of debt and the desire to balance the budget – was wrong. Within six or seven years, Britain was experiencing unprecedented prosperity and the country had been transformed. We then had a similar crew of economists telling us how essential entry to the European monetary system was.
I think we can all agree
that a period of silence from such people would be most welcome
...."


warburton : ..."I think from start to finish we'll do well to get away with a downturn of less than three years. If we consider that we started April-May last year, then we are hoping to get out of it in early 2011, so clearly we are in for a long haul here, with a major correction of relationships that had become entirely unsustainable. It will take time.

We should probably expect to see two years of minus signs in front of gross domestic product figures. We should be prepared for that.


simon : ..."In fact, even Mr Darling, the Chancellor, admitted this week that he really didn't have a clue what to do to put our economy back on the straight and narrow. Can we be surprised? He may have held various financial posts in government and in opposition, but usually in the shadow of Gordon Brown, and before that he was a leftie Edinburgh lawyer. I am not sure he can even read a balance sheet. I certainly wouldn't put money on many of his Cabinet colleagues being able to do so. Look down the list and try to gauge their hands-on business experience – try to gauge any real understanding about how wealth is created – and you pretty much draw a blank. If you ran a public limited company, would you ask Hazel Blears to join the board? Would you want Jacqui Smith chairing your remuneration committee? Would you be happy for Lord Rumba of Rio to sign off your accounts, or little Miliband to mastermind your product development? Quite...."


david b smith : ..."The Keynesian bandwagon has allowed the Government to go on huge spree, and the evidence from the 1990s is that you could easily have a situation where public spending holds up GDP but also induces a collapse in private sector activity which could be equivalent to the Great Depression.

The economy should return to its underlying growth trend with no permanent loss of output beyond that already caused by Gordon Brown's manic interventionism, unless the quack measures now being introduced by politicians make matters worse rather than better.

This happened with Roosevelt's New Deal and is likely to happen in the US, Britain and other modern economies.

We are producing a big package that looks like the kind of thing that got us into trouble in the 1970s. This looks much more like Edward Heath in 1972-74 than the more effective and well-thought out policies the UK carried out in the 1930s."



simon
: ..."To make matters worse, the Treasury has been politicised since 1997, so officials say what they think their masters want to hear, rather than what they should hear. The unthinkable is never thought. Economists with an alternative view are ignored and marginalised. And of course, the Opposition hasn't a clue either, or the time to have one between skiing holidays.

Only one thing will give us an economic revival. It is, and I apologise for being boring, the transfer of money from the client state to the productive and private sector of the economy. This means spending cuts and tax cuts. Everything else is simply propaganda."


andrew clare : ..."Standing there and doing nothing is really not an option. Yes, the end result will be higher inflation at some stage, and there is moral hazard in all of this, but we are beyond that point now. We have to help those people who are most vulnerable.

The Bank of England should buy assets, and I support Fathom Consulting's idea to embark on quantitative easing by buying property rather than other assets. This would get straight to the heart of the matter.

I think something like this is probably going to be needed at some point. Of course, we don't want any policy which unnaturally boosts housing market activity. But we want to make sure that we don't end up in a 1930s scenario.

We know that retail price inflation will dip this year. What we don't want is for that deflationary mindset to set in – people need to be reminded that it's a blip. We don't want them to do what the Japanese did and to start saving 15pc-20pc of their incomes."


THE SWIMMER

buelah : so what about our holiday inna canaries?

zooneh : yo!... jus look it how the cost has gone up...

...2008 feb. one week hotel £648
...flight £404
total £1,052

...2009 same week an hotel £946
...flight £569
total £1,515

add in euros fo spendin money at 30% more expesive...
...rate on our visa last year e131 per £1


beulah : so thats why that painty b*stard be swimmin
...

...in vilma's pool...

Sunday, 4 January 2009

BLOG ONNA HOT TIN ROOF

yo!...cop fo this...


PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate : capitulation day+103


liam : ..."
The UK - like most Western economies - is in a grave situation. Our money markets are frozen, denying vital liquidity to millions of credit-worthy firms. Unless the inter-bank market reboots, then even hastily revised 2009 Western growth forecasts - down from 2-3pc a year ago to a 1-2pc contraction now - could turn out to be too optimistic. We face the very real danger of chronic unemployment across the so-called "advanced economies" and widespread social unrest.

Yet the Keynesian bail-out solution, accepted as "essential" by practically every mainstream commentator, will do nothing to unfreeze our credit markets. It's even more dangerous than the disease it's supposed to cure.

Panicked politicians have now closed their ears to reason and are ripping up the rules. And as the bail-out continues, and the investment banks channel public funds to senior executives, the vested interests that caused this crisis are adding insult to injury.

With failure and incompetence thus rewarded, huge damage is being done to the very fabric of Western market-driven commerce. That could spark a damaging populist backlash, recreating the economic dark ages of heavy regulation and state diktat, crushing the entrepreneurial spirit that has long driven human progress." Sunday Telegraph


irwin : ..."The federal government is determined to shore up almost any firm that claims to be too big or “too interconnected to fail”, and to rebuild the nation’s infrastructure, broadly defined. Skittish consumers are borrowing and spending less, but government spending will more than make up for this. The wall of money stashed in low-paying Treasury IOUs will sooner or later wash back into shares and corporate bonds. The $500 billion that Bernanke will use to buy up mortgage-backed securities cannot but help to loosen that part of the credit market, just as the bailout of General Motors’ credit arm, GMAC, will make it easier for less credit-worthy consumers to buy cars with no down-payment and no interest charges. Moves such as that might be recreating the excess credit culture that brought us to this pass, but better that than a prolonged recession — so believe politicians for whom the 2010 elections are just around the corner, and Bernanke, whose claim to academic fame is his study of the causes of the Great Depression.

It will be surprising indeed if all of these moves don’t put the economy on the path to recovery by the end of the year. And on the path to a round of inflation that Larry Summers, tipped to occupy the Fed chairman’s seat, and other Obama advisers feel they can pinch off by quickly draining excess liquidity from the economy by raising interest rates and — you guessed it — taxes. Holders of dollars hope these economist-paragons are not prisoners of their adoring press; otherwise, the dollar will race the pound to the bottom of the currency heap." Sunday Times


from the big picture : ..."Readers often ask me about Richard Russell’s (Dow Theory Letters) viewpoint on the stock market. Here is his latest take on matters: “It occurs to me that this is a good time to remember my old friend Marty Zweig’s classic warnings: ‘Don’t fight the tape, don’t fight the Fed’. Well, if you are bearish on 2009, you are indeed fighting the Fed and probably the tape. Why do I say that? Because the Bernanke Fed is going all out in its effort to turn the US economy around. Bernanke says the Fed will do whatever it takes to halt the current trend to deflation and to bring back prosperity and mild inflation to the US.

mish : ..."Bernanke Correctly Judged Nothing

Bernanke considers himself an expert on the great depression and on the Japanese deflation as well. Trying to act quickly, Bernanke has come out blazing with 8 new policy tools, including the TALF, TARP, PDCF, ABCPMMMF, CPFF, TAF, and MMIFF to go on top of Open Market Operations, Discount Rate setting, and setting reserve requirements.

The result so far is deflation. The result in Japan was deflation.

There is only one way to defeat deflation and that is to not let the conditions that foster it to build up in the first place. What caused this deflationary bust is the credit boom that preceded it. What caused the great depression was the credit boom that preceded it. Hoover's policies and FDR's policies made the great depression worse.

Bernanke's policies are going to make this depression worse. Yes, I used the word depression. It may not be as big as the great depression, but the word "recession" does not do justice to what we are in and what is coming down the pike." mish


painty : jus a few thoughts from out there...

...oh...yeah! an this from marc faber...nod ta big picture...

Thursday, 25 December 2008

RAG TAG AN BOBTAIL

yo!...merry Christmas...innit!

PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate : capitulation day+97


UP THE GARDEN PATH act 3


...the audience at THE BRITISH ECONOMY have been led up the garden path...


...Admiral Brown and Gordon Darling...have had to learn some new lines...


...the audience are getting restless and are...starting to fidget...



brown : darling...this end of the garden has no roses...

darlin : aye aye cappin...no roses it is...


brown : no more boom an bust!

darlin : aye aye sir...no more boom it is...


brown : so!...how much ammo we got left...darlin?

darlin : look!...there's bill an ben...the flower pot men...


bill : loddelop...loddelop...

ben : innit!

brown : who's the tall broad wiyi blond hair?

darlin : thats the weed...

weed : : weeeeeeeeeeeEEEEEEEDDDD!!


...the woodentops are out inna garden lookin fo some turnip greens...


daddy woodentop : dig fo victory!...

mummy woodentop : yo shudda voted...tory...baby...


MEANWHILE BACK ATTA ROLLERCOASTER


dopey : hold on tite dudes...this sucker goin dahn!...

aladdin : f**kin wishes don run aht...

Ozzeh : yo don need no courage...jussa medal will do...

dopey : ah cars issa best inna wurld...

beulah : yo cars is the biggest inna wurld...innit!


...the rollercoaser ride speeds up in 2009...anna folks all gettin sick...


doc : build it...build it...jussa likkle bit...take it easy...sho yo lakkin it...

sleepy : whahoppen musky?...one minute all woz cosy an swell...

sneezy : sh*t hitta fan...innit?


VIRGIN ONNA RIDICULOUS


...the crew fomma loft are on their way ta the local piggly wiggly...

...fo turnip greens...



spidah : where alla shops gone man...??

zooneh : shops is toast dude...

laverne : say wot?...ah don care wot they say...i won't stay...inna wuld wiyaht shops...


...heh..heh..heh...looks lak yo gonna hafta get yo kicks fromma web...


NEXT TIME ON UP THE GARDEN PATH


...andy pandy gets a day job...somebody buys a house...

...oh yeah...anna sucker guz dahn...


y'all come back soon...heah?










Thursday, 11 December 2008

THESE BANKS ARE MADE FOR LENDING

yo!

PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate : capitulation day+83

Chancellor Alistair Darling prepares to tell banks to start lending

Alistair Darling and Lord Mandelson are preparing for tense negotiations with Britain's banks over their failure to resume lending and offer competitive mortgage deals to homeowners.


We keep saying...we've got no more money for you.
sometimes we call in debt, but confess.
We've been messin' where we shouldn't have been a messin'
and now something else is shrinkin' all our dosh.

These banks are made for lending, and that's just what they'll do
one of these days these banks are gonna walk all over you.

We keep lying, when we oughta be truthin'
and we keep losin' when we oughta not bet.
We keep samin' when we oughta be changin'.
Now what's right is right, but we ain't been right yet.

These banks are made for lending, and that's just what they'll do
one of these days these banks are gonna walk all over you.

We keep playin' where we shouldn't be playin
and we keep thinkin' that we'll never get burnt.
Ha! We just found us a brand new bunch of suckers...yeah
and what we know they ain't HAD time to learn.

These banks are made for lending, and that's just what they'll do
one of these days these banks are gonna walk all over you.

Are you ready banks?...Start lendin'!




Wednesday, 10 December 2008

SANTA, SANTA ONNA WALL...

yo!...jingle bells...innit!

PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate : capitulation day+82





petey : alla wan fo Christmas is me two fron teef...oh...anna rally inna shock an scares...


Q Ratio Signals ‘Horrific’ Market Bottom, CLSA Says



charts from equitable life are used as an illustration of sector performance comparisons only
and not as a commentary on their investment performance. no opinion is offered here either for or against equitable life as a pension company...

...they just happen to have these charts...
...which i find very helpful...
...when comparing sector fund performance...


...THEY IS A DISCLAIMER AT THE TOP O THE PAGE...

...THIS AINT ADVICE AN WE AINT IN BUSINESS...

...WE JUS SUCKERS LAK YOU...

...PISSIN INNA WIND...

Saturday, 6 December 2008

BEULAH'S DAY OFF

yo!...honey i shrunk yo stash...innit!

PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate : capitulation day+78


...in the loft...no one can hear you scream...

...the only sound is that of the gently fallin dust...

...petey anna crew is gone ta town...

...anna loft is empty...except of course fo beulah...who is takin this opportunity ta...

...check out petey's mac...fo cheatin or gamblin or...WTF is appnin ta her pension stash...


beulah : hi!...it me...BEULAH..!...that painty bastard be gone xmas shoppin atta 5 an dime...

laverne : (aht inna yard...firin up a still)...cheap n lazy...cheap an lazy bastard...

beulah : at somebitch gotta be upta sumpin...allas onna mac an chattin wi iz mates...

laverne : wot fo i gotta chop wood fo a still?

beulah : caint see no cheatin emails...an he aint gamblin...poker faced git!

...lets see if he don f**ked up me stash?...click...click...click...





beulah : WTF..!...wottit all mean?...wots me stash in?...


beulah : damn me eyes an blast me stupid curiosity...killed a cat...innit...

...caint let the git know i wuz spyin onnim... but mebbe i wuz...

...better off not knowin...hope ta God he...hedged my bets...


peteypainty : y'all don pay no tention ta lil ol beulah nah...she don mean no harm...

...she jus lak alla pension suckers out there...hopin fo a best...

...while...fearin fo a worst...

...fact is...alla suckers gotta watch they own backs...an guard they stash...

...nuthin stays the same fo long
...

...ya gotta know when ta hold em...an when ta fold em...

...the politix gotta index linked guaranteed stash...so they don care...

...the proper bollox...they jus gotta fill column inches...

...an deliver suckers ta a advertisers...

...that jus leaves you...sucker!



charts from equitable life are used as an illustration of sector performance comparisons only
and not as a commentary on their investment performance. no opinion is offered here either for or against equitable life as a pension company...

...they just happen to have these charts...
...which i find very helpful...
...when comparing sector fund performance...


...THEY IS A DISCLAIMER AT THE TOP O THE PAGE...

...THIS AINT ADVICE AN WE AINT IN BUSINESS...

...WE JUS SUCKERS LAK YOU...

...PISSIN INNA WIND...

Monday, 1 December 2008

HAVE YOURSELF A MERRY LITTLE CHRISTMAS...

yo!...tidins o comfort an joy...innit!

PALOOKAVILLE FINANCIAL stardate : capitulation day+73

...monday mornin here in palookaville and it aint lookin good...

opkin : yo painty!...how come yo aint been postin no stuff much lately?

perplexedly : shucks...mousey dude!..ahm lost man...evva thang gone pear shape innit!...

merryn : ..."
Look at the speed at which the high street is going bankrupt; at the huge rises in unemployment; at the ongoing contraction of credit; the collapse of sterling (which suggests the rest of the world isn’t too optimistic about the UK); at the house price crash; and at the falls in consumer confidence.

Then ask a small business owner how he feels. According the Tenon Forum, more than 70 per cent of owners say that the recession has had a negative effect on their business and 26 per cent have cut staff as a result. Only 53 per cent feel positive – down from 86 per cent a year ago. Add it all up, and deflation combined with a long recession looks to be more than just a passing threat to be dealt with by chucking £60 at the odd pensioner.

Finance ministers and central bankers around the world know this. Hence the state bailouts, the frantic cutting of interest rates, the huge rises in public spending and the talk of tax cuts. They’re all aimed, not so much at helping “hard working families” in the short term, but at preventing long-term Japan- style deflationary recession.

For now, none of these measures is likely to make the slightest bit of difference: the scale of the deleveraging of the economy is just too huge. That means sensible investors should still be steering well clear of all risk. So no new exposure to much in the way of equities, holiday villas in Estonia or commercial property – regardless of the bear market rallies that are doubtless on the way (the run-up to Christmas is usually good for equities and it is easy, if slightly wrong-headed, to argue that they are cheap).

Instead, stick with gilts in anticipation of further big falls in interest rates. It might seem that all the misery the world could face is priced in but, in the UK, there is still 3 per cent to go before rates hit zero. We may well get there. more FT

zooneh : whahoppen ta a rally man?

armageddony : " 'Gone, Over, Toast.'

It's interesting how short-sighted many so-called experts are when it comes to understanding the pace and path of forces swirling through the economy.

Even when it was apparent to everyone that the bubble had burst in housing, for example, some forecasters were predicting that municipal finances would not be seriously affected.

Aside from wishful thinking, one reason for the cognitive dissonance appeared to stem from the fact that people were not getting immediate reports from state and local officials that budgets were being wracked by falling revenues and rising costs.

Yet that should not have been a surprise to anyone. There are in-built delays, such as the time it takes to build a house or the grace period allowed for tax receipts to be remitted to authorities, that would postpone the moment of reckoning for months -- or longer.

The same holds true in terms of the state of the overall economy. The optimists seem to be saying that since today's data are not so bad, fears about a serious downturn are overblown.

As it happens...

Charles Hugh Smith : ..."Breadlines didn't form in November 1929--the structural damage took years to play out then, and it will take years to play out now. So don't rush things, Peggy--we'll get to a visible Depression soon enough..."The Coming Great Depression: Leaving Fantasyland."

ambrose : World stability hangs by a thread as economies continue to unravel

mish : Housing Update - How Far To The Bottom?

petey : evvaboddy know they aint no sanity clause...


beulah : well if n thats all ya gotta say...bellyachin an stuff...i wish ya had stayed...

...shut up an dumb...

...stupid painty git don know is ass fromma el;bow...innit!







Wednesday, 22 October 2008

PUSH ME PULL YOU

yo!..all the fun of the fair...innit!

petey : ...the lever has come off the one armed bandit money machine
at the VEGUS FED an now none of the buttons are workin...

zooneh : ...f**kin candyfloss...innit!

beulah : lookyhear atta bollox...

Insight: Shattered illusions of liquidity

..."The substantial build-up of foreign reserves in central banks of emerging markets and developing countries has puzzled economists. As identified by David Roche, of research boutique Independent Strategy, and others, the large build up of central bank reserves is really a liquidity creation scheme that relies on the dollar’s favoured position in trade and as a reserve currency.

Deterioration in the US economy and the issue of more government debt to support the financial sector may increase pressure on the US sovereign rating and the dollar. US government support for financial institutions is approaching 6 per cent of GDP compared to less than 4 per cent at the time of the Savings and Loans crisis. This may set off a further phase in the global de-leveraging as large losses on dollar investments slow down the international credit creation system.

Gillian Tett of the FT coined the phrase “candy floss money”. Financial technology spun available “real” money into an exaggerated bubble that, like its fairground equivalent, collapses ultimately. The emerging market reserves system is another dimension of this candy floss money.

The perceived abundance of liquidity was, in reality, merely an illusion created by high levels of debt and leverage as well as the structure of global capital flows. As the financial system de-leverages, it is becoming clear, unsurprisingly, that available capital is more limited than previously estimated.

In recent years, money was cheap and other assets were expensive. As each of the global economy’s credit creation engines breaks down and systemic leverage reduces, money becomes scarce and expensive triggering adjustments in asset prices in a reversal of the process.

Mark Twain once advised: “Don’t part with your illusions. When they are gone you may still exist, but you have ceased to live”. In the current financial crisis, many illusions have been shattered. The quantum of available capital and the munificent resources of central banks and sovereign wealth funds may be another of the accepted ”facts” that may be revealed to be an illusion." FT

Fed offers $540bn to prop up money funds

..."The Fed move highlights the extent to which policymakers are concerned about US money markets, even as conditions have improved, with interbank rates dropping. Policymakers are also worried that moves to prop up US banks may have undermined money funds, which compete with bank savings accounts. FT


market ticker : ..."Horsecrap.

Bernanke is doing what Paulson tried and failed at in the "free" (coerced by arm-twisting by Paulson) market through executive fiat, and he is printing money to fund it. Exactly how much money he is printing (as opposed to lending) depends on the precise amount of overpayment that is being induced through these so-called "loans", but that it is happening is not open to question.

Why has this become necessary?

Ben and Hank produced a dislocation in this section of the marketplace by favoring other debt instruments with federal guarantees, thereby forcing money out of these instruments.

This in turn created major problems for money market funds who buy this paper as a routine matter of course in that when they needed to redeem deposits they suddenly found no buyers for the securities, as those people had fled to other instruments that Ben had guaranteed payment on!

As each new facility is rolled out by Ben and Hank a new area of debt becomes backstopped by the government in some fashion, thereby forcing money out of other instruments and causing those instruments to become distressed!

We are rapidly reaching the point where only The Fed and Treasury are providing any lending at all!...read the whole article


petey : Beware below, Bedlam above,
Halls of mirrors and tunnels of love.

Sensory shrapnel, bullets of bliss,
Hands that hold, lips that kiss.
Generate spells, create confusion,
Expectation, cruel illusion.

Money in slot, hand on lever,
Chills the soul, causes fever!