Showing posts with label lockdown. Show all posts
Showing posts with label lockdown. Show all posts

Tuesday, 21 April 2020

COCK LOCK STOCK SHOCK

yo!.. could get messy... innit!


 LOCK DOWN, COCK UP,  STOCK SHOCK 



Sechel
Michigan residents should be angry at Donald Trump..
What's stopping people from going back to work are..

swabs, reagents, test kits, gowns and masks..

The governors don't want people staying home..

its costing people their livelihoods..

and state tax revenue.


PALOOKAVILLE MASK SHORTAGE



VIX UP OIL DOWN

The collapse in oil markets comes amid a generalized economic downturn, 
with the coronavirus pandemic 
plunging most of the world’s economies into a downward spiral 
many believe will be the deepest since 
the Great Depression of the 1930s.




Courtesy of IHSMarkit's energy vice president Roger Diwan
from zeropoint

 How did you end up with negative oil prices today?

 This happens when a physical futures contract finds..
no buyers close to or at expiry.

Let me explain what that means:

A physical contract such as the NYMEX WTI has a delivery point at Cushing, OK, &
date, in this occurrence May. 
So people who hold the contract at the end of the trading window 
have to take physical deliveryof the oil 
they bought on the futures market. 
This is very rare.
It means that in the last few days of the futures trading cycle, 
(which is tomorrow for this one) speculative or paper futures positions
start rolling over to the next contract.

This is normally a pretty undramatic affair.
What is happening today is trades or speculators
who had bought the contract are
finding themselves unable to resell it, 
and have no storage booked to get delivered
the crude in Cushing, OK, where the delivery is specified in the contract.
This means that all the storage in Cushing is booked,
and there is no price they can pay to store it, 
or they are totally inexperienced in this game and are caught
holding a contract they did not understand the full physical aspect of
as the time clock expires.
A decline of over 15% in the June contract price points to real worries 
that the physical stress will continue to reverberate, 
and will force a lot more production shutdowns during May 
than the ones announced so far.
So today negative prices are the reflection of dire market conditions for producers,
with the hope that demand restart before the middle of May and that the 
June contract does not face the same fate. 


West Texas Intermediate oil prices have gone negative in a record low for the US benchmark, as the market continues to crater amid the general economic collapse.
Vanishing demand and a glut of supply have combined to heavily impact the US benchmark fuel, with prices dropping from $18.27 to close at -$37.63 a barrel on Monday – down over 300 percent from the previous day’s close. It's the first time the crude oil futures contract has ever traded in the negative since the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) started trading it in 1983.




Brexitologist
This is today, bad enough.
What about next week ? Next month ??
Anyone with any practical knowledge of the oil patch knows that this is going to get (literally) messy, very messy indeed...


Sechel
I know how we got here.
Economic Growth is weak to collapsing
America is now an oil exporter
China is not a driver of oil consumption
I'm still not sure about this price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia Some say they are colluding against American shale producers. I can't see Saudi Arabia an aly doing that. My view is Saudi Arabia was going after Russia and not colluding with them. The Saudis and Russians never cooperate.
I don't see how high cost shale and tar sand production is economically justified. High cost sites will have to be capped if that's the right term. Long term cars are moving to electric and the price of solar and wind keeps dropping. Incidentally New York State just shut its last coal plant
Oh and Donald Trump said trade wars are easy to win.
And I do think Randolph and Mortimer Duke made a killing!



Freebees2me
Where are the "Greenies"!!!??? Where are all the environmentalists....?????
Are we not now living in the world they have long sought? Are we now not living in a world where there's no demand for oil? Where there's no demand for production and workers either.....And, the trees soaking it up.... We're seeing huge reductions in CO2...
Shouldn't the Greenies' be cheering all this on? But, all we hear are crickets....



Montana33
Traders in these futures markets distort prices by buying oil
when they can't take delivery of it..
and/or selling oil they don't have.
They never expect the music to stop which is so foolish.
So now a bunch of hedge funds/oil traders who bought futures..

HAVE TO PAY FOR THE OIL!
That's right - they have to buy oil that they cannot store and cannot sell.
 Futures contacts are real..
 and if you can't roll them over into a new contract..
then you have to legally pay up..
or go bankrupt.

 This is why the price is negative -
that's the hedge funds/oil traders begging someone who is actually in the oil business
to take this oil off their hands.
Good luck with that!

I'll bet there is literally no storage space left.
The little that was there is already spoken for so.... oil prices could go down from here.
 All oil producers need to shut down completely.
 How fast can additional oil storage facilities be built?
Not fast enough.

Brent crude plunges 25%

In another alarming development, the Brent crude oil price has now plunged to an 18-year low.
Brent (sourced from the North Sea) is trading at just $19 per barrel, down 25% today alone, following the slump in US crude oil prices below zero last night.


West Texas Intermediate oil prices have gone negative in a record low for the US benchmark, as the market continues to crater amid the general economic collapse.
Vanishing demand and a glut of supply have combined to heavily impact the US benchmark fuel, with prices dropping from $18.27 to close at -$37.63 a barrel on Monday – down over 300 percent from the previous day’s close. It's the first time the crude oil futures contract has ever traded in the negative since the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) started trading it in 1983.


This Is Why the Oil Price Is About to ‘Surge’ $40 Overnight


coming up..

oil to be stored in kings college chapel..

oil to be stored in kilner jars..

jam jars..

when is a door not a door..

when it's a jar..


the oil future's not what it used ta be..

Congratulations. I knew the record would stand until it was broken..

Take it with a grin of salt.



Thursday, 16 April 2020

SOME TIMES A GREAT PLAN

yo!... goes awry... innit!


palookaville..

in luckdown..

nobody planned..

ta fail..

but..

every body failed ta plan..


GOING TO FAIL : FAIL


it lookin..

more an more..

lak palookaville gonna..

lose the games

ya cain't win if ya..

last outta the gate..

if ya don't gotta..

right kit..

if ya don't gotta..

playbook..


MAKE A NEW PLAN STAN



But the best-case scenario assumes several conditions. 

First, the US, Europe, and other heavily affected economies..

would need to roll out widespread COVID-19 testing, tracing, and treatment measures, 

enforced quarantines, and a full-scale lockdown of the type that China has implemented..

 And, because it could take 18 months for a vaccine to be developed..

and produced at scale, antivirals and other therapeutics..

will need to be deployed on a massive scale. 


the palookas are..

gettin restless..

they seen alla movies..

an they..

miss their buddies..

they ain't enuff dead palookas..

in they area..


WHAT, ME WORRY?


palookaville is a big place..

an some folks..

gotta shitty enda the stick..

others..

not so much..

they want luckdown..

ta end..


HEY HEY RONA

they want to go back to work..

an travel, an visit, an hang out..

they think that..

rhona..

is for the birds..

and not for them..

evidence is emerging that..

they may not be onside..


I say yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, Rona..


Oh, Rona..


I tell you Rona what I wanna do..


I'll build a house next door to you..


Can I see you sometimes?


We can blow kisses through the blinds..


Yeah can I out come out on the front..


And listen to my heart go bumpety bump..


I need you baby that's no lie..


Without your love I'd surely die..


I say hey, Rona..


THE VERY THING THAT MAKES YOU HAPPY WILL MAKE THEM DEAD


yes..

in palookaville..

they have a name for this..

herd immunity..

steve chao - 

 Stop blaming others..

We are where we are because Trump GOP gospel is let old sick people die..

It didn't start with this pandemic..

Plenty of Republican politicians publicly stated old people are burden to society..

should go..

Washington made no preparations, no mask, no ventilator..

because they wanted to cull the herd...

Boris Johnson accidentally gave out the secret..

herd immunity he calls it..

Trump panicked after he saw bodies pile up..

Fearing political consequence he changed tone..

But not really, his policy is still herd immunity..

Witness his push to open up/ease quarantines even while we have 28,000 new cases a day.


 many want ta..

git back onna trail..



Keep rollin', rollin', rollin'
Though the streams are swollen..

Keep them dogies rollin'
Rawhide!

Through rain and wind and weather..

Hell-bent for leather..

Wishin' my gal was by my side..

All the things I'm missin'
Good vittles, love, and kissin'..

Are waiting at the end of my ride.

CHORUS

Move 'em on, head 'em up
Head 'em up, move 'em on
Move 'em on, head 'em up

Rawhide

Cut 'em out, ride 'em in..

Ride 'em in, let 'em out.

Cut 'em out, ride 'em in..

Rawhide!

Keep movin', movin', movin'

Though they're disapprovin'

Keep them dogies movin'

Rawhide!

Don't try to understand 'em..

Just rope, and throw, and brand 'em..

Soon we'll be living high and wide..

My heart’s calculatin'

My true love will be waitin'

Be waiting at the end of my ride.

CHORUS

Rawhide!

source: http://www.lyricsondemand.com/tvthemes/rawhidelyrics.html


 SOME ONE ALWAYS HAS A PLAN


but it may not be..

the one we will like..

or the one that will..

make us all better..

or..

keep us all safe


ALLSAFE


Firstly, if you get on top of it really early, you can get it under control.

"It is relatively easy to tackle clusters, to contact trace and isolate,"

says Professor Kenji Shibuya of King's College London.

"The authorities were quite successful in their cluster control approach.

Japan was in the very early phase of the outbreak back then.

It was localised and it was a success story."


"The major lesson to take from Hokkaido is that even if you are successful..

in the containment the first time around..

it's difficult to isolate and maintain the containment for a long period..

Unless you expand the testing capacity..

it's difficult to identify community transmission and hospital transmission."

The long road ahead

The third lesson is..

that this "new reality" is going to go on a lot longer than most people expect.

Hokkaido has now had to re-impose the restrictions..

though Japan's version of a Covid-19 "lockdown"..

is a rather softer than those imposed elsewhere.

Most people are still going to work..

Schools may be closed, but shops and even bars remain open.

Prof Shibuya thinks without tougher measures..

Japan has little hope of controlling..

this so called "second wave" of infections now taking place..

not just in Hokkaido, but across the country.

"The key lesson" he says..

"is even if you are successful in containment locally..

but there is transmission going on in other parts of the country..

as long as people are moving around..

it's difficult to maintain a virus-free status".

Even so, the economy in Hokkaido is already hurting badly.

The island is hugely dependent on tourism..

and Japan has banned travel from the US and Europe and most countries in Asia.


coming up..