Thursday, 27 August 2020

ONLY THE SHADOW KNOWS

yo!.. bottom line... innit!  

 

 (August 19)  

July 2020 Cass Freight Index® Held in Deep Annual Contraction, 

Consistent With Bottom–Bouncing Manufacturing, 

but Running Increasingly Counter to “Booming” Retail Sales 

(CassInfo.com, see detail at https://www.cassinfo.com/freight-audit-payment/cass-transportation-indexes/july-2020). 

 The year-to-year annual decline 

of 13.1% (-13.1%) in the July 2020 Cass Freight Index® 

remained deep in Pandemic-driven recession territory, 

having moved off its 17.8% (-17.8%) drop in June, 

and the near-record 23.6% (-23.6%) contraction in May, 

which held shy of the April 2009 Great Recession trough record plunge of 25.0% (-25.0%). 

The Cass Index’s consecutive monthly year-to-year declines 

and deepening month-to-month declines in the 12-month trailing average

 held in place for the 20th straight month. 

Those year-to-year and 12-month-moving-average metrics neutralize seasonality 

in this unadjusted series. 

ShadowStats regularly follows and analyzes the Cass Index 

as a highest-quality coincident and leading indicator of underlying economic reality.

 We thank Cass for their permission to graph and to use their numbers in our Commentaries.

 

http://www.shadowstats.com/

 

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